Future dwelling capacity and yield forecasts for Perth

The future take-up of dwelling capacity plays a critical role in urban development forecasting. Current dwelling yield estimates for infill or higher-density areas may be based on theoretical maximum capacities, assuming that every lot is built out to the upper limit of allowable density.

In reality, not all lots will be redeveloped within the future forecast period, and not all existing or future developments will maximise allowable density. Therefore, further consideration must be given into how to best incorporate refinements of maximum dwelling capacity estimates in land use forecasting.

This project aims to better understand and predict realistic dwelling capacity in higher-density and infill areas across Perth, by determining take-up rates as an increasing percentage of theoretical maximum dwelling yields over time.

Participants

• Department of Planning, Lands and Heritage (Western Australia)
• University of Western Australia
• Curtin University

Project background

As the CBD and other major urban centres throughout Perth and Peel grow in line with projected population increases, there is the need to accurately determine dwelling capacity and future growth in higher-density and infill areas.

Integrating realistic take-up rates into dwelling capacity forecasts is challenging, as it involves considering commercial, land use planning, infrastructure requirements including capacity and other factors.

Project objectives

Focusing on Greater Perth, develop an approach to determine appropriate take-up rates (as an increasing percentage over time of maximum potential yields) for higher density areas, that will enhance existing land use forecasts methodologies.

Please note …

This page will be a living record of this project. As it matures, hits milestones, etc., we’ll continue to add information, links, images, interviews and more. Watch this space!